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RE: The McBush Oil Plan

 
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RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/11/2008 1:51:13 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: inthysite

Since everyone loves to quote the Department of Energy on this subject here are excerpts from a study that was prepared for them by their own appointed committee The National Petroleum Council:

The National Petroleum Council is a federal advisory committee to the Secretary of Energy. The sole purpose of the National Petroleum Council is to advise, inform, and make recommendations to the Secretary of Energy on any matter requested by the Secretary relating to oil and natural gas or to the oil and gas industries.

During the last quarter-century, world energy demand has increased about 60 percent, supported by a global infrastructure that has expanded to a massive scale. Most forecasts for the next quartercentury project a similar percentage increase in energy demand from a much larger base. Oil and natural gas have played a significant role in supporting economic activity in the past, and will likely continue to do so in combination with other energy types. Over the coming decades, the world will need better energy efficiency and all economic, environmentally responsible energy sources available to support and sustain future growth.

The United States and the world face hard truths about the global energy future over the next 25 years:

Coal, oil, and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth.

The world is not running out of energy resources, but there are accumulating risks to continuing expansion of oil and natural gas production from the conventional sources relied upon historically. These risks create significant challenges to meeting projected energy demand.

To mitigate these risks, expansion of all economic energy sources will be required, including coal, nuclear, renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas. Each of these sources faces significant challenges—including safety, environmental, political,
or economic hurdles—and imposes infrastructure requirements for development and delivery.

“Energy Independence” should not be confused with strengthening energy security. The concept of energy independence is not r realistic in the foreseeable future, whereas U.S. energy security canbe enhanced by moderating demand, expanding and diversifying domestic energy supplies, and strengthening global energy trade and investment. There can be no U.S. energy security without global
energy security.

Free and open markets should be relied upon wherever possible to produce efficient solutions. Where markets need to be bolstered, policies should be implemented with care and consideration of possible unintended consequences. The Council proposes five core strategies to assist markets in meeting the energy challenges to 2030 and beyond. All five strategies are essential—there is no single, easy solution to the multiple challenges we face. However, the Council is confident that the prompt adoption of these strategies, along with a sustained commitment to implementation, will promote U.S. competitiveness by balancing economic, security, and environmental goals. The United States must:

Moderate the growing demand for energy by increasing efficiency of transportation, residential, commercial, and industrial uses.

Expand and diversify production from clean coal, nuclear, biomass, other renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas; moderate the decline of conventional domestic oil and natural gas production; and increase access for development of new resources.

Integrate energy policy into trade, economic, environmental, security, and foreign policies; strengthen global energy trade and investment; and broaden dialogue with both producing and consuming nations to improve global energy security.

Enhance science and engineering capabilities and create long-term opportunities for research and development in all phases of the energy supply and demand system.

Develop the legal and regulatory framework to enable carbon capture and sequestration (CCS). In addition, as policymakers consider options to reduce CO2 emissions, provide an effective global framework for carbon management, including establishment of a transparent, predictable, economy-wide cost for CO2 emissions.


This is just a very small part of a very large report, it was taken from the Executive Summary. You can view and download the entire report for free here:

Hard Truths - Facing the Hard Truths about Energy


Thanks for agreeing, and for proving my point for me.

Interstig that even the petroleum industry's lobby/lapdog ALSO agrees - or didn't you notice that?
Post #: 126
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/11/2008 2:55:37 PM   
inthysite


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quote:


Thanks for agreeing, and for proving my point for me.

Interstig that even the petroleum industry's lobby/lapdog ALSO agrees - or didn't you notice that?


I'm not sure how this agrees with the following statement you made:
quote:

Offshore drilling - or not - is not the issue.

The issue is that INCREASING the use of a depleting, non-renewable resource, as increasing production of crude oil does, makes no economic sense whatsoever. It is as senseless as hunting a species to extinction for economic gain.


When the study clearly states the following:
quote:


Coal, oil, and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth.

expansion of all economic energy sources will be required, including coal, nuclear, renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas.

Expand and diversify production from clean coal, nuclear, biomass, other renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas;


They clearly state that expanding the use of oil and natural gas is a necessity.

They also state that alternatives need to be part of this solution as well and I agree with that. But we need to further develop and expand all options to help both in the future and the here and now.

So I'm confused as to how this agrees with your position.

_____________________________

Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
Post #: 127
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/11/2008 5:00:11 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: inthysite

quote:


Thanks for agreeing, and for proving my point for me.

Interstig that even the petroleum industry's lobby/lapdog ALSO agrees - or didn't you notice that?


I'm not sure how this agrees with the following statement you made:
quote:

Offshore drilling - or not - is not the issue.

The issue is that INCREASING the use of a depleting, non-renewable resource, as increasing production of crude oil does, makes no economic sense whatsoever. It is as senseless as hunting a species to extinction for economic gain.


When the study clearly states the following:
quote:


Coal, oil, and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth.

expansion of all economic energy sources will be required, including coal, nuclear, renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas.

Expand and diversify production from clean coal, nuclear, biomass, other renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas;


They clearly state that expanding the use of oil and natural gas is a necessity.

They also state that alternatives need to be part of this solution as well and I agree with that. But we need to further develop and expand all options to help both in the future and the here and now.

So I'm confused as to how this agrees with your position.


You might want to read what they actually said a little more closely.
Post #: 128
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/11/2008 5:58:14 PM   
inthysite


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quote:

You might want to read what they actually said a little more closely.


I have read it, several times as a matter of fact. So please either be a little more clear on your point or show me where I'm wrong.

_____________________________

Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
Post #: 129
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/11/2008 6:11:28 PM   
SovereignIsHe


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quote:

ORIGINAL: huangshan

Sure, Obama flip flops occasionally. I don't really see a problem with it. He's selling himself as a flexible guy who can work across the partisan divide, and that's going to necessarily require a few compromises (though hopefully not in a few areas... I haven't been terribly disappointed yet though). A series of incremental victories (and using certain issues as bargaining chips) is a lot more feasible, I think, than never budging.


I like saying whatever it takes to get elected over flip flopping...

John
Post #: 130
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/11/2008 6:18:03 PM   
SovereignIsHe


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quote:

ORIGINAL: saved9201

Conservatives' response to the government providing relief to homeowners:

"It's not my fault those people went out and bought those big ol' houses and now can't afford to pay for them. Why should the gubment get involived? People should learn not to depend on he gubment to rescue them when they make irresponsible decisions."


You are really defending people who who got very risking loans while less than 6% 30 year fixed loans were sitting there for that taking? What about them "poor" folks who refinanced at 125% of the value and now have walked away?

Btw... People shouldn't depend on the government to rescue them... That was never its intended purpose and why folks wish to hand it over all the leverage they can it beyond reasoning...

John
Post #: 131
RE: Barak's Big Oil Ad - 8/12/2008 5:58:00 AM   
_jjp_

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: todd_t

quote:

He brought up the fact that cars today do not have tune-ups like they used to. The car's computer does all sorts of adjustments and corrections as it runs.


But checks on spark plugs, electrical wiring, fuel filters, pumps, distributors, and batteries are all part of a regular tune-up. No computer can maintain those systems; they'll always have to be replaced manually.


Spark plugs now have a 100k mile life so they are not part of a tune up for quite a few years, electrical wiring, pumps, and batteries do not affect fuel efficiency. The vast majority of cars no longer have distributors most, in fact, have moved to having individual coils at each plug. A "tune up" on a modern car usually consists of running a computer diagnostic and sometimes changing the plugs. It isn't like the old days when you could set the timing and adjust idle and such.
Post #: 132
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 8:58:38 AM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: inthysite

quote:

You might want to read what they actually said a little more closely.


I have read it, several times as a matter of fact. So please either be a little more clear on your point or show me where I'm wrong.


What part of the term "UNCONVENTIONAL oil and gas production" is giving you the most trouble?

There are at least eight energy sources identified in that (petroleum industry lobby) report, and you are focusing only on the single element of conventional oil and gas production, ignoring the rest and also ignoring the qualifiers on even that one element.
Post #: 133
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 10:14:02 AM   
inthysite


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quote:

There are at least eight energy sources identified in that (petroleum industry lobby) report, and you are focusing only on the single element of conventional oil and gas production, ignoring the rest and also ignoring the qualifiers on even that one element.


First of all I never claimed that oil should be the only solution to the energy problem, so I didn't ignore the other sources of energy but focused on a single element in the report to show that oil needs to be part of the solution.

Secondly, this report doesn't support only renewable sources of energy. Your comment on your position was that it is senseless to "increase the use of a depleting, non-renewable resource".

quote:

The issue is that INCREASING the use of a depleting, non-renewable resource, as increasing production of crude oil does, makes no economic sense whatsoever. It is as senseless as hunting a species to extinction for economic gain.


Again, if you will read the report you will see the statement where they recommend increasing the production of energy including the use of oil.

quote:

Coal, oil, and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth.

expansion of all economic energy sources will be required, including coal, nuclear, renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas.

Expand and diversify production from clean coal, nuclear, biomass, other renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas;


As to your rather rude statement:
quote:

What part of the term "UNCONVENTIONAL oil and gas production" is giving you the most trouble?


I think you need to look up the meaning of "unconventional oil production".

Non-conventional oil is oil produced or extracted using techniques other than the traditional oil well method. Currently, non-conventional oil production is less efficient and some types have a larger environmental impact relative to conventional oil production. Non-conventional types of production include: tar sands, heavy oil, oil shale, biofuels, thermal depolymerization (TDP) of organic matter, and the conversion of coal or natural gas to liquid hydrocarbons through processes such as Fischer-Tropsch synthesis.

So how does this support your position that it is senseless to pursue non-renewable energy sources? Is shale, tar sands, heavy oil, coal renewable?

Oh FYI: most of these methods for extracting "unconventional oil" are being blocked by the Democrats in Congress, specifically Nancy Pelosi.

And to your comment about the report coming from the "petroleum industry lobby", you liberals kill me. All day long you will quote the DOE about how drilling won't give us any oil for 10 years but when I provide a report from a committee appointed by the DOE all of a sudden it's oil company propaganda.

The National Petroleum Council is a federal advisory committee to the Secretary of Energy. The sole purpose of the National Petroleum Council is to advise, inform, and make recommendations to the Secretary of Energy on any matter requested by the Secretary relating to oil and natural gas or to the oil and gas industries.

< Message edited by inthysite -- 8/12/2008 10:57:36 AM >


_____________________________

Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
Post #: 134
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 11:36:45 AM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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quote:

Again, if you will read the report you will see the statement where they recommend increasing the production of energy including the use of oil.

quote:

Coal, oil, and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth.

expansion of all economic energy sources will be required, including coal, nuclear, renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas.

Expand and diversify production from clean coal, nuclear, biomass, other renewables, and unconventional oil and natural gas;


Of course it does - but

'expand the use of energy including oil'

is not semantically equal to

'increase conventional production of oil'

as you keep trying to say it is.

In technical terms, you are commiting a non-sequitor affirming the consequent error in your rationale.
Post #: 135
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 11:39:52 AM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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Before anyone claims that the Natinal Petroleum Council is not a glorified lobbying group, one should read what the NPC is, how it is formed, and who makes up its membership.

http://www.npc.org/background.html

Here, for example, is their 2008-2009 membership list:

http://www.npc.org/

Anybody care to be bold enough to claim that these members are not there to look out for the economic well-being of the energy INDUSTRY, reather than addressing the energy needs of the nation?
Post #: 136
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 11:56:58 AM   
Jhud


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I think this discussion has gone far adrift.

The consensus that is developing is that alternative energies are not immediately forthcoming, and that the markets will partly ameliorated by a more aggressive attempt to locate and utilize domestic oil sources. At the very least this will provide a buffer until alternatives are fully developed, and it has the ever-beneficial end of making us more self-sufficient.

To this end Obama has missed the boat a bit, though he is now (along with Pelosi, apparently) rushing to catch up with the American public. McCain has had to move as well, just not as far. Anyone who pretends at this point that no drilling is necessary, or that alternatives are ready for prime time, is too out of touch to take seriously.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 137
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 12:13:31 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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Got it - the answer is to push domestic drilling that won't deliver a drop to the refineries for ten years, as opposed to investing in alternate energies that won't provide any benefit for ten years.

That makes sense to somebody, I suppose.
Post #: 138
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 12:15:11 PM   
Jhud


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quote:

Got it - the answer is to push domestic drilling that won't deliver a drop to the refineries for ten years, as opposed to investing in alternate energies that won't provide any benefit for ten years.

That makes sense to somebody, I suppose.


Yes, it makes sense to futures markets. That is why they are called 'futures', not 'presents'.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 139
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 12:20:34 PM   
davemiller7


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Yes, I've noticed the drift too. Even the thread title is changed from Barack's Big Oil Ad to The McBush Oil Plan. It's all to shift the emphasis away from Obamessiah's lack of anything substantial besides windmills, solar panels, and tire pressure.

-Dave

quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

I think this discussion has gone far adrift.

The consensus that is developing is that alternative energies are not immediately forthcoming, and that the markets will partly ameliorated by a more aggressive attempt to locate and utilize domestic oil sources. At the very least this will provide a buffer until alternatives are fully developed, and it has the ever-beneficial end of making us more self-sufficient.

To this end Obama has missed the boat a bit, though he is now (along with Pelosi, apparently) rushing to catch up with the American public. McCain has had to move as well, just not as far. Anyone who pretends at this point that no drilling is necessary, or that alternatives are ready for prime time, is too out of touch to take seriously.


_____________________________

-Dave

The Prayer of Protection
The light of God surrounds me,
The love of God enfolds me,
The power of God protects me,
The presence of God watches over me.
Wherever I am, God is.
Post #: 140
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 12:25:04 PM   
Jhud


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quote:

Yes, I've noticed the drift too. Even the thread title is changed from Barack's Big Oil Ad to The McBush Oil Plan. It's all to shift the emphasis away from Obamessiah's lack of anything substantial besides windmills, solar panels, and tire pressure.


Which is ironic given the recent claim that attacking one's opponent means that one has no substantive arguments to support one's candidate.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 141
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 1:56:24 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

quote:

Yes, I've noticed the drift too. Even the thread title is changed from Barack's Big Oil Ad to The McBush Oil Plan. It's all to shift the emphasis away from Obamessiah's lack of anything substantial besides windmills, solar panels, and tire pressure.


Which is ironic given the recent claim that attacking one's opponent means that one has no substantive arguments to support one's candidate.


That being the case, let's hear your substantive arguments to support your candidate.
Post #: 142
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 1:59:19 PM   
inthysite


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quote:

I think this discussion has gone far adrift.

quote:

Yes, I've noticed the drift too. Even the thread title is changed from Barack's Big Oil Ad to The McBush Oil Plan. It's all to shift the emphasis away from Obamessiah's lack of anything substantial besides windmills, solar panels, and tire pressure.


I agree. I had noticed the name change as well. While I am partly responsible for setting it adrift my point was along the line of jhud.

quote:

The consensus that is developing is that alternative energies are not immediately forthcoming, and that the markets will partly ameliorated by a more aggressive attempt to locate and utilize domestic oil sources. At the very least this will provide a buffer until alternatives are fully developed, and it has the ever-beneficial end of making us more self-sufficient.


I just don't understand the thinking that we need to refocus all our efforts on new technology and just let oil continue to skyrocket.

quote:



'expand the use of energy including oil'

is not semantically equal to

'increase conventional production of oil'

as you keep trying to say it is.


I have never made this statement and maybe I wasn't clear on my point. I am for drilling, both offshore and ANWR, but I never stated that the report I referenced supported that. I used the report to refute your statement as well as others that "increasing the use of a depleting, non-renewable resource, as increasing production of crude oil does, makes no economic sense whatsoever. "

I referenced the report to show that it does make economic sense because as the report states "oil will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth. "

So it makes perfect economic sense to continue to search for new supplies of oil and natural gas. And regardless of where or how you get it, it is still oil and natural gas. So whether we increase standard production or unconventional production, we still need to increase production to meet the increasing demands.

And, while technology is improving, unconventional oil production is still expensive and has several environmental risk factors, so drilling is currently the safest and cheapest way of increasing supply.

quote:

Yes, it makes sense to futures markets. That is why they are called 'futures', not 'presents'.


Exactly. Look how prices dropped when Bush dropped the presidential moratorium on offshore drilling. Look how prices increased when Israel threatened to bomb Iran's nuclear plant. Look how prices are now going back up because of Russia invading Georgia.

Nothing has happened to supply, only that the future supply might be affected so speculators influence the price accordingly. When speculators think supply will increase in the future, they help to lower prices, when they believe supply will reduce, then they help to raise prices.

There are so many factors in the price of oil but one of them that has equal weight of any of the others is psychological.

_____________________________

Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
Post #: 143
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:02:38 PM   
Jhud


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quote:

That being the case, let's hear your substantive arguments to support your candidate.


Years of experience building legislative coalitions across party lines that move programs forward.

Experience as a self-sacrificial leader in the most harrowing of circumstances, namely a POW prison.

A substantive record of supporting judges that adheres closely to the Constitution

A consistent williness to make hard budgetary decisions that reduce spending.

A balanced view of energy policy that includes both exploration, nuclear, and development of alternatives.

A willingness to support unpopular military strategies (like the surge) when neccesity dictates.

Your turn.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 144
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:05:55 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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1. Barack Obama has personal experience with poverty and the growing income gap, having grown up abroad in Indonesia and working as a community organizer in the south side of Chicago.

2. After graduating Harvard Law, Magna Cum Laude and president of the Harvard Law Review, Obama could have become a wealthy corporate or trial lawyer but returned to Chicago to practice civil rights law.

3. He also taught Constitutional Law at the University of Chicago, so he knows how our government is supposed to work.

4. His tax, energy, and foreign policy proposals - his platform - are both specific and well-thought-out.

5. He opposed the Iraq war before it started and has a specific plan for redeploying all combat troops by March 31, 2008.

6. He has received an A+ score from the Genocide Intervention Network for being a "champion" and taking crucial action to end the genocide in Darfur, co-sponsoring and voting for all significant Darfur legislation.

7. Barack Obama is committed to universal health care by the end of his first term.

8. He has sponsored, co-sponsored and advocated for significant and realistic legislation to end global warming by capturing and safely disposing carbon dioxide, raising vehicle fuel economy standards and replacing petroleum with home-grown biofuels like cellulosic ethanol.

9. He has the broadest base of supporters, has not accepted PAC money and is the least compromised by big money special interests.

10. Barack Obama has the intellect, natural talent and charisma to communicate effectively to the entire world, bring people together, change the status quo and move our country forward.
Post #: 145
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:11:06 PM   
Jhud


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Just curious, because I have't been able to find any - as a professor at Chicago, how many papers did he publish?

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 146
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:19:04 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

Just curious, because I have't been able to find any - as a professor at Chicago, how many papers did he publish?


Your theory, of course, that his work as Professor of Constitutional Law is to be judged by the violume of his published work?

Try Googling "Obama Professor published papers" and enjoy a few of the 311,000 hits it generates.
Post #: 147
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:20:18 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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By the way, thanks for surrendering on the other nine points.

Here's a rhetorical question for your list - just how did McCain show leadership in the Hanoi Hilton? Was it before or after he admitted to commiting war crimes?
Post #: 148
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:21:52 PM   
Jhud


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quote:

Your theory, of course, that his work as Professor of Constitutional Law is to be judged by the violume of his published work?

Try Googling "Obama Professor published papers" and enjoy a few of the 311,000 hits it generates.


Thanks for that - first hit:

Barack Obama never achieved such a scholarly stature—indeed, it does not appear that he engaged in legal scholarship at all. And to my knowledge, the title of “senior lecturer” has never been applied to someone who was basically an adjunct professor.

Even more unusual is Chicago’s claim that Barack Obama was offered a fully tenured position. The University of Chicago is one of the most elite law schools in the country, and it would be extremely rare for the law school to offer a tenure-track position to someone without any legal scholarship, much less one with tenure. The course materials and examination questions prepared by then-Professor Obama demonstrate a deep and nuanced command of the law, but for that to have resulted in an offer to the tenured or even tenure-track faculty, the normal course (indeed, nearly the only course) is for that command of legal subjects to have first manifested itself into published articles.


_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 149
RE: The McBush Oil Plan - 8/12/2008 2:21:55 PM   
SwedishCovenant

 

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Here's another one for your list - "consistent williness to make hard budgetary decisions that reduce spending"

What specific spending bills has he opposed?
Post #: 150
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