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Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election

 
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Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 8:44:41 AM   
TMeeks

 

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It has been reported that top officials in Iran are calling for a preemptive strike against Israel to prevent them from destroying Iran's nuclear facilities. The article is here.

When you link this to Biden's warning of (1) an international challenge to Obama and (2) that we are going to think his response is wrong then the real question is WHO is going to think his response wrong.

Will it be his base or the wider population of American citizens?

_____________________________

Galatians 6:7 Do not be deceived: God cannot be mocked. A man reaps what he sows. 8 The one who sows to please his sinful nature, from that nature will reap destruction; the one who sows to please the Spirit, from the Spirit will reap eternal life.
Post #: 1
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 1:31:42 PM   
tafkam

 

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Personally I think Israel will make good on it's threat to strike Iran first, before the possibility of an Obama presidency which may well not lean as friendly to Isreal as we have previously.

Not sure if that means before our elections or before Inauguration day, but....

_____________________________

"The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.' - Ronald Reagan

Tafkam
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RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 1:39:10 PM   
Lapidoth

 

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I just heard on the news the Iran Legislature is "for" a Obama Presidency.

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BARUCH HABA BASHEM YAHUAH
Post #: 3
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 2:48:18 PM   
tafkam

 

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quote:

I just heard on the news the Iran Legislature is "for" a Obama Presidency.


Is this really a surprise?

_____________________________

"The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.' - Ronald Reagan

Tafkam
Post #: 4
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 5:24:28 PM   
leonfigg3


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I do not think it has ever been a secret that Iran prefers a Democrat in the White House. They know that they can bully a Democrat into giving them what they want. They know that dealing with a Republican, even a maverick Republican, would be more difficult.
Post #: 5
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 9:22:05 PM   
Dubya


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TMeeks
When you link this to Biden's warning of (1) an international challenge to Obama and (2) that we are going to think his response is wrong then the real question is WHO is going to think his response wrong.

Will it be his base or the wider population of American citizens?

I actually think it is his base... not the "looney left" (which is well represented on this forum) but the vast majority of Americans who actually think Obama will be a better choice for foreign policy than McCain. They think he is the better choice.

I strongly suspect that Biden is alluding to what he already knows what Obama will do... talk! No action, just talk - in an effort to negotiate a "peaceful" settlement. I think Biden, on the other hand, believes that to be the wrong solution... hence his warning.

Clearly, he is not speaking to the wider population who will be totally against such a policy - and the regret of those who did not bother to vote will be palpable.
Post #: 6
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/23/2008 10:57:46 PM   
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RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 3:09:49 AM   
WormHeart


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tafkam

quote:

I just heard on the news the Iran Legislature is "for" a Obama Presidency.


Is this really a surprise?


That is just natural, since they are concerned with their own safety.

Mccain is on YouTube singing: “Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran” for cryind out loud.

Let me think – who would I want leading a nuclear superpower? The one who sings about destroying my country or anyone else.

You don’t have to be a scheming villain to prefer the other guy.

WormHeart

_____________________________

Praise King and Country with might
Bless every Dane at heart
For serving with no fright
The Viking kingdom for Danes is true
With fields and waving beeches
By a sea so blue

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Post #: 8
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 7:07:24 AM   
TMeeks

 

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Might there be other reasons the leadership of Iran could rightfully be called 'scheming villains'?

quote:

ORIGINAL: WormHeart

quote:

ORIGINAL: tafkam

quote:

I just heard on the news the Iran Legislature is "for" a Obama Presidency.


Is this really a surprise?


That is just natural, since they are concerned with their own safety.

Mccain is on YouTube singing: “Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran” for cryind out loud.

Let me think – who would I want leading a nuclear superpower? The one who sings about destroying my country or anyone else.

You don’t have to be a scheming villain to prefer the other guy.

WormHeart


_____________________________

Galatians 6:7 Do not be deceived: God cannot be mocked. A man reaps what he sows. 8 The one who sows to please his sinful nature, from that nature will reap destruction; the one who sows to please the Spirit, from the Spirit will reap eternal life.
Post #: 9
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 7:39:56 AM   
rlj


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With the current state of our military what would McCain or anyone actually be able to do?

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And my head I'd be scratchin'
While my thoughts were busy hatchin'
If I only had a brain
Post #: 10
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 8:06:59 AM   
Born_Again

 

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After 7 years of all the “ Action” from Bush administration and not “ talk” like Obama suggested I think we can see the result itself and decide on our own that it is time to elect someone who would stop singing “ Bomb.. Bomb.. Bomb Iran” and start diplomacy.
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RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 8:23:33 AM   
TMeeks

 

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That brings to mind another song "God Bless you, Mr. Chamberlain!"

quote:

ORIGINAL: Born_Again

After 7 years of all the “ Action” from Bush administration and not “ talk” like Obama suggested I think we can see the result itself and decide on our own that it is time to elect someone who would stop singing “ Bomb.. Bomb.. Bomb Iran” and start diplomacy.


_____________________________

Galatians 6:7 Do not be deceived: God cannot be mocked. A man reaps what he sows. 8 The one who sows to please his sinful nature, from that nature will reap destruction; the one who sows to please the Spirit, from the Spirit will reap eternal life.
Post #: 12
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 8:38:01 AM   
Dubya


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Born_Again

After 7 years of all the “ Action” from Bush administration and not “ talk” like Obama suggested I think we can see the result itself and decide on our own that it is time to elect someone who would stop singing “ Bomb.. Bomb.. Bomb Iran” and start diplomacy.

The subject of this thread is a pre-emptive strike by Iran agaiinst Israel.
Do you understand the meaning of those words?

Once a strike is launched what is the point of "diplomacy"?

If that is what would happen, Obama would certainly prove his lack of allegience for Israel wouldn't he?
Post #: 13
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 10:22:00 AM   
WormHeart


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TMeeks

Might there be other reasons the leadership of Iran could rightfully be called 'scheming villains'?



Oh, plenty. They are a horrible oppressive regime.

It’s just that the OP is insinuating, that they will prefer Obama, because they consider him weak. I point out that they will prefer the “other” guy, no matter who it is, when Mccain pulled that stunt. Perhaps even Bush.

If the Russian presidential election was between a moderate and a former KGB who was on national television singing:
“First we nuke Manhattan, then we nuke New York,
Then we nuke L.A. and then we nuke for sport.”

I’m pretty sure the US would prefer the other guy, almost whoever he was.


quote:

ORIGINAL: Dubya

The subject of this thread is a pre-emptive strike by Iran agaiinst Israel.
Do you understand the meaning of those words?

Once a strike is launched what is the point of "diplomacy"?


Hmm. Pre-emptive strike? Where have I heard that idea before?

See, this is the danger of using a pre-emptive strike as a justified means (as the coalition did with Iraq). It leads to a loose gun kind of politics among nations.

IF Iraq had WMD’s and we were justified in attacking them – isn’t Iran, a sovereign nation, justified in hitting Israel, before they hit them?

And isn’t Israel justified in hitting Iran, because otherwise Iran will hit them?

See? It leads to loose guns.

I am pretty sure Iran is trying to get nukes, its plain common sense, if they want to keep being a sovereign nation. However we don’t have any proof yet.

Should we launch attacks on a hunch? Israel has nukes (probably). Should they be considered a rouge state? They have violated Iran and Syria’s defences several times.

WormHeart

_____________________________

Praise King and Country with might
Bless every Dane at heart
For serving with no fright
The Viking kingdom for Danes is true
With fields and waving beeches
By a sea so blue

National Anthem of Denmark
Post #: 14
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 10:36:24 AM   
EStan


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quote:

ORIGINAL: WormHeart

quote:

ORIGINAL: TMeeks

Might there be other reasons the leadership of Iran could rightfully be called 'scheming villains'?



Oh, plenty. They are a horrible oppressive regime.

It’s just that the OP is insinuating, that they will prefer Obama, because they consider him weak. I point out that they will prefer the “other” guy, no matter who it is, when Mccain pulled that stunt. Perhaps even Bush.

If the Russian presidential election was between a moderate and a former KGB who was on national television singing:
“First we nuke Manhattan, then we nuke New York,
Then we nuke L.A. and then we nuke for sport.”

I’m pretty sure the US would prefer the other guy, almost whoever he was.


quote:

ORIGINAL: Dubya

The subject of this thread is a pre-emptive strike by Iran agaiinst Israel.
Do you understand the meaning of those words?

Once a strike is launched what is the point of "diplomacy"?


Hmm. Pre-emptive strike? Where have I heard that idea before?

See, this is the danger of using a pre-emptive strike as a justified means (as the coalition did with Iraq). It leads to a loose gun kind of politics among nations.

IF Iraq had WMD’s and we were justified in attacking them – isn’t Iran, a sovereign nation, justified in hitting Israel, before they hit them?

And isn’t Israel justified in hitting Iran, because otherwise Iran will hit them?

See? It leads to loose guns.

I am pretty sure Iran is trying to get nukes, its plain common sense, if they want to keep being a sovereign nation. However we don’t have any proof yet.

Should we launch attacks on a hunch? Israel has nukes (probably). Should they be considered a rouge state? They have violated Iran and Syria’s defences several times.

WormHeart


Are you suggesting that the U.S. should have no say in who in the world can and can't have nuclear weapons?

I, for one, would not be surprised by a preemptive attack on Israel by both Iran and Syria.

_____________________________

Eternal Father, grant that through the tears of repentance I may see more clearly the brightness and glories of the saving cross.
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RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 10:37:16 AM   
mapachito13

 

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There is a major reform movement in Iran that is gaining steam so it's too simplistic to accept the Bush "axis of evil" view when we have done nothing to encourage this reform.

"Early reports indicate that President Khatami's loose coalition of 18 political groups has won a major victory, gaining an estimated 65-75 percent of the 290 seats in the Majlis, Iran's parliament, up from about 25 percent in the last election. The reformers' victory reflects widespread disaffection with the harsh Islamic regime that has exported terrorism abroad, repressed freedom at home, isolated Iran, and ruined its economy. The lopsided election results and record 80 percent turnout of eligible voters demonstrate the popularity of President Khatami's reform program: the relaxation of strict Islamic social restrictions, expansion of individual liberties, building of a civil society based on the rule of law, and liberalization of the stagnant economy." Heritage Foundation Article

We need to topple the government from within, not alienate the people!

But Bush will not help the reformers, he's more content to start another war we can't afford. It wasn't until this current administration that the words "pre-emptive strike" became part of our normal foreign policy lexicon.

_____________________________

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RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 10:48:52 AM   
Jhud


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quote:

There is a major reform movement in Iran that is gaining steam so it's too simplistic to accept the Bush "axis of evil" view when we have done nothing to encourage this reform.

"Early reports indicate that President Khatami's loose coalition of 18 political groups has won a major victory, gaining an estimated 65-75 percent of the 290 seats in the Majlis, Iran's parliament, up from about 25 percent in the last election. The reformers' victory reflects widespread disaffection with the harsh Islamic regime that has exported terrorism abroad, repressed freedom at home, isolated Iran, and ruined its economy. The lopsided election results and record 80 percent turnout of eligible voters demonstrate the popularity of President Khatami's reform program: the relaxation of strict Islamic social restrictions, expansion of individual liberties, building of a civil society based on the rule of law, and liberalization of the stagnant economy." Heritage Foundation Article

We need to topple the government from within, not alienate the people!

But Bush will not help the reformers, he's more content to start another war we can't afford. It wasn't until this current administration that the words "pre-emptive strike" became part of our normal foreign policy lexicon.


The Heritage Foundation article is from 2000; since then the Mullahs, especially the Supreme Leader, have demonstrated that there is no real 'reform' movement in Iran - to 'topple the government' you would have to eliminate the Supreme Leader and the mullahs, and that would pretty much require an Iraq style war.

Israel has good reason to be worried, and they should be suported in efforts to protect themselves.

_____________________________

Jack

I believe in Christianity as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
- C.S. Lewis
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RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 10:55:25 AM   
WormHeart


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quote:

ORIGINAL: EStanAre you suggesting that the U.S. should have no say in who in the world can and can't have nuclear weapons?

I, for one, would not be surprised by a preemptive attack on Israel by both Iran and Syria.


Eh... are you serious?

Of course the US shouldn't have a say in who are "allowed" to have nuclear weapons.

Who died and made you king of the world?

The world has a strong interest in limiting the number of nations who has access to nukes, but should the US singlehandedly decide for or against? No.

Dont get me wrong. I prefer Iran doesn't get them. Just as I prefer Israel to not have them, and most certainly Pakistan and India as nuclear powers are bad for the stability. But I dont think the US specifically should have such a veto.

Should only one of the current nuke-nations have them, I would prefer it to be Britan.

WormHeart

_____________________________

Praise King and Country with might
Bless every Dane at heart
For serving with no fright
The Viking kingdom for Danes is true
With fields and waving beeches
By a sea so blue

National Anthem of Denmark
Post #: 18
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 10:58:28 AM   
Jhud


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quote:

Eh... are you serious?

Of course the US shouldn't have a say in who are "allowed" to have nuclear weapons.

Who died and made you king of the world?

The world has a strong interest in limiting the number of nations who has access to nukes, but should the US singlehandedly decide for or against? No.

Dont get me wrong. I prefer Iran doesn't get them. Just as I prefer Israel to not have them, and most certainly Pakistan and India as nuclear powers are bad for the stability. But I dont think the US specifically should have such a veto.

Should only one of the current nuke-nations have them, I would prefer it to be Britan.


If you read carefully, you will see he didn't say the US should have the only say, but that it should have a say - that means be one of the countries making that decision; perhaps a language issue here?

_____________________________

Jack

I believe in Christianity as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
- C.S. Lewis
Post #: 19
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 11:02:52 AM   
davemiller7


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Since we bombed Hiroshima and Nagasaki to put an end to World War II, how many times have we used "the bomb?" It's been 63 years, now. You're saying you don't trust us? If you can't trust us to do the right thing, who, besides God, can you trust?

quote:

ORIGINAL: WormHeart

quote:

ORIGINAL: tafkam

quote:

I just heard on the news the Iran Legislature is "for" a Obama Presidency.


Is this really a surprise?


That is just natural, since they are concerned with their own safety.

Mccain is on YouTube singing: “Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran” for cryind out loud.

Let me think – who would I want leading a nuclear superpower? The one who sings about destroying my country or anyone else.

You don’t have to be a scheming villain to prefer the other guy.

WormHeart


_____________________________

-Dave

The Prayer of Protection
The light of God surrounds me,
The love of God enfolds me,
The power of God protects me,
The presence of God watches over me.
Wherever I am, God is.
Post #: 20
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 11:04:15 AM   
WormHeart


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud
you read carefully, you will see he didn't say the US should have the only say, but that it should have a say - that means be one of the countries making that decision; perhaps a language issue here?


No, I got that. That is why I clarified my stance, that I’m opposed to the US having a veto, but the world collectively has a genuine interest in limiting the number of nations with nukes.

Estan staid:
quote:

Are you suggesting that the U.S. should have no say in who in the world can and can't have nuclear weapons?


The tone suggests that the US specifically should have a say, instead of the world, hence my clarifications, because I might misread the statement.

WormHeart

_____________________________

Praise King and Country with might
Bless every Dane at heart
For serving with no fright
The Viking kingdom for Danes is true
With fields and waving beeches
By a sea so blue

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Post #: 21
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 11:23:31 AM   
leonfigg3


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quote:

ORIGINAL: WormHeart

Eh... are you serious?

Of course the US shouldn't have a say in who are "allowed" to have nuclear weapons.

Who died and made you king of the world?

The world has a strong interest in limiting the number of nations who has access to nukes, but should the US singlehandedly decide for or against? No.

Dont get me wrong. I prefer Iran doesn't get them. Just as I prefer Israel to not have them, and most certainly Pakistan and India as nuclear powers are bad for the stability. But I dont think the US specifically should have such a veto.

Should only one of the current nuke-nations have them, I would prefer it to be Britan.

WormHeart

Why shouldn't America have a say, a major say in which country could have a nuclear weapon and which ones should not?

We were the first ones to use nuclear weapons. We, better than any other country, except Japan, knows just how terrible the weapon is and how dangerous it could be in the wrong hands with absolutely no safeguards as to who may have access to it.

Also, the last I heard, or has been indicated, the UN has the final say as to who may have access to to nuclear technology and under what conditions. We are one voice in that matter.

Having said that, I do believe that yes, if need be, in cases where the UN is unable or unwilling to act, we should step forward to stop someone from having nuclear weapons who clearly has no means , or intention, to keep those weapons secure and out of the hands of individuals who would use them without a second thought.
Post #: 22
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 11:24:10 AM   
WormHeart


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From: Denmark - pride of Scandinavia
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quote:

ORIGINAL: davemiller7
Since we bombed Hiroshima and Nagasaki to put an end to World War II, how many times have we used "the bomb?" It's been 63 years, now.


None. You have only dropped two atomic bombs, killing an estimated 140,000 people in Hiroshima and 80,000 in Nagasaki for a totalt of 220.000 deaths – mostly civilians.

It ended the war, and might actually have saved the lives of a lot of soldiers, but it did mostly kill the civilians.

Fair trade? Perhaps.

All other nuclear nations have a collective record of none. Not for lack of will, obviously, but because the other side was usually allied with someone who also had nukes.

And I might suggest that the reason you haven’t dropped any more, is more closely related to Russias and Chinas nuclear arsenal than goodwill on your part.

quote:

ORIGINAL: davemiller7
You're saying you don't trust us? If you can't trust us to do the right thing, who, besides God, can you trust?


Well, against Russia, Israel, Pakistan or India you win 10 times of 10, hands down. I prefer you.

However, the US like all nations look out for their own good first and foremost. That is not always the common good.

And you are treading dangerous territory recently. Offshore camps, where prisoners are kept indefinitely. Pre-emptive wars. Political turmoil and extreme polarisation among the populace. Using torture. Eroding the civil protection of US citizens and doing away with any protections for other citizens. Kidnapping citizens. Simplistic politics that paint a black and white picture of the world. Restarting the missile shield and bugging off Russia. Re-inventing small nukes and introducing them as a viable option on the battlefield.
Leaders who are commanded by God to do politics a certain way. Lots of reasons to be a little weary.

When the lion has troubled sleep, the savannah goes quit. :-p

Trust? I think Britan is much more in touch real world politics and they are pretty stabile.

WormHeart

Edited: spelling and removed a red herring

< Message edited by WormHeart -- 10/24/2008 11:56:19 AM >


_____________________________

Praise King and Country with might
Bless every Dane at heart
For serving with no fright
The Viking kingdom for Danes is true
With fields and waving beeches
By a sea so blue

National Anthem of Denmark
Post #: 23
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 11:54:49 AM   
WormHeart


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From: Denmark - pride of Scandinavia
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quote:

ORIGINAL: leonfigg3
Why shouldn't America have a say, a major say in which country could have a nuclear weapon and which ones should not?


Because you (like all nations) would use it to advance your own interests.

quote:

ORIGINAL: leonfigg3
We were the first ones to use nuclear weapons. We, better than any other country, except Japan, knows just how terrible the weapon is and how dangerous it could be in the wrong hands with absolutely no safeguards as to who may have access to it.


Perhaps Japan should have the final say then?

quote:

ORIGINAL: leonfigg3
Also, the last I heard, or has been indicated, the UN has the final say as to who may have access to to nuclear technology and under what conditions. We are one voice in that matter.


And that I wholeheartedly support.

quote:

ORIGINAL: leonfigg3
Having said that, I do believe that yes, if need be, in cases where the UN is unable or unwilling to act, we should step forward to stop someone from having nuclear weapons who clearly has no means, or intention, to keep those weapons secure and out of the hands of individuals who would use them without a second thought.


Yes, but if we want to prevent a return to the old days of endless warmongering, we need to abide by the rule of law. Pressure those nations, bargain with them, prevent them from using your own research… But attacking a nation you are not at war with to prevent them from getting leverage is another matter.

Iran with nukes are not a true danger for nuclear nations. They know that they will be annihilated if they nuke anyone. But the US would loose it’s option to pound them, because no one, even the US, messes with a nuclear power.

It WILL allow them to do as Russia. Pound nations outside Nato and get nothing but a stern talking to. That is the danger.

WormHeart

_____________________________

Praise King and Country with might
Bless every Dane at heart
For serving with no fright
The Viking kingdom for Danes is true
With fields and waving beeches
By a sea so blue

National Anthem of Denmark
Post #: 24
RE: Iran's Preemptive Strike Plans & Election - 10/24/2008 12:04:58 PM   
Jhud


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While I certainly don't think the US should have the only say, I do think that it has to act to protect it's own interests (as does Israel) and relying on the UN security council where Russia and China resist strong enforcement of keeping terrorist nations from getting nukes, may not be in our best interest.

_____________________________

Jack

I believe in Christianity as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
- C.S. Lewis
Post #: 25
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